Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.721507 0.846735 0.982197 1.139012 1.314921 1.505536 1.727064
2025-09-07 0.528369 0.703801 0.912089 1.174559 1.493216 1.864237 2.325337
2025-09-14 0.397678 0.596054 0.852335 1.199944 1.650692 2.206659 2.934541
2025-09-21 0.292163 0.491595 0.770870 1.176121 1.733150 2.455050 3.442198
2025-09-28 0.232136 0.433721 0.736844 1.202732 1.874681 2.780869 4.063173
2025-10-05 0.187057 0.386459 0.706990 1.226034 2.007174 3.097486 4.685841
2025-10-12 0.151925 0.346246 0.679143 1.244902 2.129715 3.402975 5.305502
2025-10-19 0.120800 0.304772 0.640907 1.239967 2.212118 3.651914 5.854682
2025-10-26 0.093261 0.262323 0.592684 1.210498 2.250471 3.834516 6.313595
2025-11-02 0.075832 0.235866 0.568117 1.216279 2.342201 4.098316 6.899297
2025-11-09 0.057769 0.202026 0.522845 1.178600 2.357168 4.242469 7.310205
2025-11-16 0.047138 0.182935 0.503437 1.184791 2.444284 4.500941 7.901818
2025-11-23 0.037177 0.162384 0.477954 1.177823 2.510596 4.734198 8.472865
2025-11-30 0.031997 0.154108 0.478588 1.222558 2.672276 5.131046 9.317589
2025-12-07 0.026824 0.143726 0.472324 1.252279 2.808387 5.491961 10.119701
2025-12-14 0.020360 0.125466 0.442800 1.229094 2.843671 5.684657 10.658911
2025-12-21 0.017000 0.117281 0.437458 1.257264 2.977470 6.049913 11.490075
2025-12-28 0.014085 0.109287 0.430921 1.281656 3.104882 6.408780 12.322151
2026-01-04 0.011545 0.101373 0.422867 1.301307 3.223553 6.756493 13.146341
2026-01-11 0.008949 0.091106 0.405392 1.296243 3.291435 7.016111 13.830492
2026-01-18 0.006482 0.079032 0.379033 1.265742 3.304078 7.175811 14.349417
2026-01-25 0.005070 0.072156 0.367868 1.271737 3.392725 7.476425 15.117493
2026-02-01 0.003484 0.061631 0.340871 1.232710 3.381707 7.591503 15.567229